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Monday, May 25th, 2026
The 56 Maple Daily Brief is a curated macro and markets summary built for private equity investors and operators. It tracks 40+ key indicators across rates, credit, equities, currencies, commodities, flows, and real estate. Highlighting what moved and why. Delivered each day with AI-powered interpretation and relevant analysis via the lastest Anthropic Model.
AI-generated synthesis · claude-sonnet-4-20250514 · Monday, May 25th, 2026
Bonds
Yields remain stable across the curve with only the 10Y showing minor weakness down 4 bps over the week. The 2s10s spread sits at a modest 43 bps, indicating a normalized though still relatively flat curve. Real rates have surged 9% in the past week to 2.18%, suggesting the market is pricing out dovish Fed expectations despite breakeven inflation falling. The bond market appears to be finding equilibrium around current Fed policy with no clear directional bias. Conviction: MODERATE.
Credit
High yield spreads widened marginally to 2.78% while HYG gained 0.6% for the week, indicating resilient risk appetite despite the move in real rates. Investment grade credit also posted modest gains with LQD up 0.5%. Credit markets are showing no stress signals and continue to price a benign default environment. Conviction: HIGH.
Private Credit
Direct lending markets are showing clear stress with BIZD down 1.8% and OBDC falling 1.6% over the week, both now down roughly 10% year-to-date. The divergence between BKLN and SRLN remains minimal, suggesting both active and passive loan strategies are facing similar headwinds. OBDC's continued underperformance relative to the broader BDC index signals specific concerns about the largest direct lending platform. The HYG/LQD ratio remains stable, indicating the stress is concentrated in private rather than public credit markets. Conviction: HIGH.
Equities
Broad equity strength continues with the S&P 500 up 0.9% for the week and equal-weight outperforming cap-weight, indicating healthy breadth. Small caps led with Russell 2000 up 2.7% while financials lagged despite the higher rate environment. VIX remains subdued at 16.59, down nearly 7% for the week, confirming low volatility expectations. The equity market is pricing continued economic expansion with no imminent recession fears. Conviction: HIGH.
Commodities
Oil collapsed 11.1% for the week to $96.60, signaling either supply normalization or demand concerns despite remaining up 68% year-to-date. Copper gained 1.7% and agricultural commodities posted solid gains with wheat up 1.7%, suggesting continued structural tightness in these markets. The divergence between energy and other commodities points to oil-specific factors rather than broad growth concerns. Conviction: MODERATE.
Today's Environment
Risk-on regime with stable rates, rising equities, and resilient credit spreads dominating across public markets. However, private credit stress creates a bifurcated environment where institutional lending faces pressure while retail-accessible markets remain sanguine.
Practical Investment Implications
Favor public credit over private credit exposure as the latter shows clear valuation and performance stress. Maintain equity allocations given strong breadth and low volatility, particularly in small caps. Energy weakness may present tactical opportunities if driven by supply rather than demand factors.
One Key Change to Watch
A material widening in HYG spreads above 3.5% would signal the private credit stress is spreading to public markets.
Bonds
2s10s Yield Curve Spread — down 14.0%
Why AGNC Investment's Net Interest Spread Matters More Than Its 14% Dividend Yield — The Motley Fool, 5h ago
Allspring Municipal Bond Fund Q1 2026 Commentary — Seeking Alpha, 2h ago
Gold’s forced sovereign liquidations could pave the way for the metal’s next great bull run – SPI’s Stephen Innes — KITCO, 6h ago
US Equities
VIX — down 6.9%
Stock market news today: US exchanges closed for Memorial Day, trading resumes Tuesday — eciks.org, 8h ago
Warsh Champions Deregulation Alongside High Rates: A Massive Capital Shift — Bitget, 18h ago
Russell 2000 Index: The Original Benchmark For U.S. Small Caps — Seeking Alpha, 9h ago
Currencies & Gold
GBP/USD — up 1.4%
GBP/USD Forecast: Pound Sterling Falls as UK Services Sector Contracts — CurrencyNews.co.uk, 15h ago
Euro-Pound To Rise Towards 0.88 As BoE Bets Fade: Rabobank EUR/GBP Forecast — Exchange Rates Org UK, 7h ago
Gold (XAU/USD) Price Forecast for Today, Tomorrow, Next Week, and the Next 30 Days — LiteFinance, 3h ago
Commodities
Crude Oil (WTI) — down $12.06 (11.1%)
Oil prices sink on signs of U.S.-Iran deal — Axios, 2h ago
Crude Oil Price Analysis – Oil Drops as Headlines Suggest Possible Peace — FXEmpire, 8h ago
Oil (USCrude) Price Forecast for Today, Tomorrow, Next Week, and Next 30 Days — LiteFinance, 10h ago
Institutional Flows
Retail Money Market Funds — up 2.0%
Analysis-Investors see no let-up in bond market strain — AOL.com, 13h ago
How Kenyan manufacturers are powering prosperity through NSE — Business Daily, 3h ago
Global Market: Equity funds see first weekly outflow in nine weeks amid yield surge — The Economic Times, 17h ago
Real Estate Proxies
Housing Starts — up 11.1%
Multifamily starts forecasts mostly lower in May — Yield PRO, 12m ago
World Ceramic Floor Tiles - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights — IndexBox, 9h ago
Housing Market News and Commentary — HousingWire, Yesterday
^IRX · YAHOO · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.59% | +0bps | -0bps | -1bps | +5bps |
As of May 22, 2026
Yield on short-term U.S. government debt, primarily driven by expectations for Federal Reserve policy over the next 1-2 years.
This is the market's real-time view of where the Fed is headed; when it rises, the market is pricing tighter policy or delayed cuts, and when it falls, it reflects expectations of easing or economic slowdown, making it one of the most important forward-looking policy indicators.
^FVX · YAHOO · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.26% | -0bps | -0bps | +30bps | +52bps |
As of May 22, 2026
Intermediate-term Treasury yield that reflects both expected Fed policy and medium-term economic conditions.
This sits between short-term policy and long-term growth expectations, so changes here often signal a shift in the market's base-case economic outlook rather than just near-term Fed moves.
^TNX · YAHOO · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.56% | -3bps | -4bps | +24bps | +37bps |
As of May 22, 2026
Benchmark long-term interest rate reflecting expectations for growth, inflation, and risk over a full economic cycle.
This is the most important rate for asset pricing; rising yields generally indicate stronger growth or higher inflation expectations and tighten financial conditions, while falling yields signal slowing growth, disinflation, or risk aversion, directly impacting valuations across equities and real estate.
^TYX · YAHOO · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.06% | -0.9% | -1.2% | +3.0% | +4.1% |
As of May 22, 2026
Long-duration yield reflecting long-term economic expectations, inflation risk, and fiscal sustainability.
Movements here are less about near-term cycles and more about structural views on inflation and government debt, making it particularly relevant for long-duration assets and understanding long-term capital costs.
TLT · YAHOO · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $84.68 | +$0.46 (+0.5%) | +$1.02 (+1.2%) | $-1.55 (-1.8%) | $-1.07 (-1.2%) |
As of May 22, 2026
ETF representing long-duration U.S. Treasury bonds, inversely related to long-term yields.
This acts as a real-time proxy for long-duration risk; when TLT falls, it indicates rising long-term rates and tightening financial conditions, and when it rises, it reflects declining yields and easing conditions, often coinciding with risk-off environments.
HYG · YAHOO · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $79.91 | +$0.01 (+0.0%) | +$0.45 (+0.6%) | $-0.04 (-0.1%) | +$0.83 (+1.0%) |
As of May 22, 2026
ETF representing below-investment-grade corporate debt, combining credit risk and interest rate exposure.
This is a key proxy for credit risk appetite; rising prices suggest easy financial conditions and strong risk tolerance, while falling prices indicate widening credit spreads and increasing concern about defaults or economic stress.
LQD · YAHOO · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $108.37 | +$0.20 (+0.2%) | +$0.51 (+0.5%) | $-0.72 (-0.7%) | $-0.13 (-0.1%) |
As of May 22, 2026
ETF representing high-quality corporate bonds with lower credit risk than high yield.
This reflects both interest rate movements and corporate credit quality; weakness here can signal tightening financial conditions even before equity markets react, particularly if driven by spread widening rather than rates.
DFF · FRED · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.62% | +0.0% | -0.3% | -0.5% | -0.5% |
As of May 21, 2026
The actual overnight rate at which banks lend reserves to each other, reflecting current Fed policy.
This is the anchor of the entire rate system; changes here directly influence borrowing costs across the economy and serve as the baseline against which all other yields are evaluated.
T10Y2Y · FRED · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.43% | -12.2% | -14.0% | -15.7% | -40.3% |
As of May 22, 2026
Difference between 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields, measuring the slope of the yield curve.
This is a core economic signal; an inverted curve (negative spread) suggests restrictive policy and elevated recession risk, while a steepening curve typically reflects either improving growth expectations or easing financial conditions.
T5YIE · FRED · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.54% | -1.2% | -5.9% | -1.6% | +11.4% |
As of May 22, 2026
Market-implied average inflation over the next 5 years derived from nominal vs TIPS yields.
This reflects near-to-medium-term inflation expectations; rising breakevens indicate increasing inflation expectations, while falling breakevens suggest disinflation or weakening demand.
T10YIE · FRED · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.40% | +0.4% | -3.6% | -0.8% | +6.7% |
As of May 22, 2026
Market-implied inflation expectations over the next 10 years.
This provides a longer-term view of inflation credibility; stable levels suggest anchored expectations, while large moves signal shifts in confidence around long-term price stability.
DFII10 · FRED · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.18% | +2.3% | +9.0% | +13.5% | +12.4% |
As of May 21, 2026
Inflation-adjusted yield on 10-year Treasuries, representing the real cost of capital.
This is one of the most important variables for asset valuation; rising real rates tighten financial conditions and pressure risk assets, while falling real rates support higher valuations and economic activity.
BAMLH0A0HYM2 · FRED · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.78% | -0.7% | +0.7% | -2.1% | -1.8% |
As of May 21, 2026
Option-adjusted spread of US high yield corporate bonds over Treasuries.
The price of credit risk. Below 3% = euphoria, risk underpriced. 3-5% = normal. Above 5% = stress building. Above 8% = crisis-level credit distress.
RSP · YAHOO · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $206.58 | +$1.87 (+0.9%) | +$5.02 (+2.5%) | +$4.13 (+2.0%) | +$14.54 (+7.6%) |
As of May 22, 2026
Equal-weighted version of the S&P 500, removing concentration in mega-cap stocks.
This helps assess market breadth; if it lags the standard index, it indicates narrow leadership, while outperformance signals broad participation across stocks.
XLF · YAHOO · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $51.94 | +$0.21 (+0.4%) | +$0.84 (+1.6%) | +$0.14 (+0.3%) | $-2.71 (-5.0%) |
As of May 22, 2026
ETF tracking U.S. financial institutions including banks and insurers.
Financials are highly sensitive to rates and credit conditions; strength suggests healthy lending and economic expansion, while weakness can signal tightening credit or stress in the financial system.
^GSPC · YAHOO · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7,473.47 | +0.4% | +0.9% | +5.1% | +9.0% |
As of May 22, 2026
Market-cap-weighted index of 500 large U.S. companies.
This is the primary benchmark for U.S. equities; movements reflect a combination of earnings expectations, interest rates, and risk appetite, making it a broad indicator of financial conditions.
^IXIC · YAHOO · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26,343.97 | +0.2% | +0.5% | +7.8% | +13.4% |
As of May 22, 2026
Index heavily weighted toward technology and growth-oriented companies.
This is highly sensitive to interest rates and liquidity; outperformance typically signals strong risk appetite and falling discount rates, while underperformance often reflects tightening conditions.
^DJI · YAHOO · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50,579.70 | +0.6% | +2.1% | +2.6% | +4.5% |
As of May 22, 2026
Price-weighted index of 30 large, established U.S. companies.
This tends to reflect more traditional, cyclical sectors and can provide a view into industrial and economic sensitivity relative to growth-heavy indices.
^RUT · YAHOO · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2,869.23 | +0.9% | +2.7% | +3.4% | +14.4% |
As of May 22, 2026
Index of small-cap U.S. companies.
This is a proxy for domestic economic strength and credit sensitivity; outperformance suggests strong growth and easy financial conditions, while weakness indicates stress in smaller, more leveraged businesses.
^VIX · YAHOO · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.59 | -0.7% | -6.9% | -11.3% | +14.3% |
As of May 25, 2026
Implied volatility of S&P 500 options, often called the "fear index."
Elevated levels indicate market stress and uncertainty, while low levels suggest complacency and stable conditions, making it a key barometer of risk sentiment.
EURUSD=X · YAHOO · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1643 | +0.2% | +0.2% | -0.4% | -0.9% |
As of May 25, 2026
Exchange rate between the euro and U.S. dollar.
Reflects relative economic strength and monetary policy between the U.S. and Europe, often serving as a proxy for global macro positioning.
JPY=X · YAHOO · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 158.8610 | -0.1% | +0.0% | -0.6% | +1.4% |
As of May 25, 2026
Exchange rate between the U.S. dollar and Japanese yen.
Highly sensitive to interest rate differentials; a rising pair typically reflects higher U.S. yields and global carry trades, while declines often occur during risk-off periods.
GBPUSD=X · YAHOO · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.3501 | +0.5% | +1.4% | +0.3% | +0.2% |
As of May 25, 2026
Exchange rate between the British pound and U.S. dollar.
Reflects UK-specific economic conditions and policy relative to the U.S., with sensitivity to global risk sentiment.
GC=F · YAHOO · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $4,523.20 | +$2.20 (+0.0%) | $-29.30 (-0.6%) | $-199.10 (-4.2%) | +$208.80 (+4.8%) |
As of May 25, 2026
Precious metal used as a store of value.
Typically rises during periods of declining real rates, inflation concerns, or geopolitical risk, serving as a hedge against monetary instability.
BTC-USD · YAHOO · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $77,237.47 | +$256.34 (+0.3%) | $-220.30 (-0.3%) | $-2,590.44 (-3.2%) | $-11,494.52 (-13.0%) |
As of May 25, 2026
Digital asset often viewed as a speculative or alternative store of value.
Highly sensitive to liquidity and risk appetite; strong performance often coincides with easy financial conditions and speculative behavior.
CL=F · YAHOO · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $96.60 | +$0.00 (+0.0%) | $-12.06 (-11.1%) | +$2.20 (+2.3%) | +$39.28 (+68.5%) |
As of May 25, 2026
Benchmark price for U.S. crude oil.
Rising oil prices can signal strong demand or supply constraints and tend to be inflationary, while falling prices often indicate weakening global growth.
NG=F · YAHOO · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $3.02 | +$0.11 (+3.9%) | $-0.00 (-0.1%) | +$0.50 (+19.7%) | $-0.60 (-16.5%) |
As of May 25, 2026
Price of natural gas, a key energy input.
Often more supply-driven but still relevant for inflation and industrial activity, particularly in energy-sensitive regions.
HG=F · YAHOO · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $6.38 | +$0.04 (+0.6%) | +$0.11 (+1.7%) | +$0.36 (+5.9%) | +$0.74 (+13.1%) |
As of May 25, 2026
Industrial metal widely used in construction and manufacturing.
Often called "Dr. Copper," it is a leading indicator of global economic activity, with rising prices signaling growth and falling prices indicating slowdown.
SI=F · YAHOO · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $76.20 | +$0.31 (+0.4%) | $-0.87 (-1.1%) | $-0.18 (-0.2%) | +$5.64 (+8.0%) |
As of May 25, 2026
Silver futures. Industrial metal and precious metal hybrid.
Dual nature: industrial demand (solar, electronics) and safe-haven store of value. Outperforming gold = industrial optimism. Underperforming = pure fear bid favoring gold.
ZS=F · YAHOO · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1,196.50 | +$2.25 (+0.2%) | +$19.50 (+1.7%) | +$36.75 (+3.2%) | +$167.00 (+16.2%) |
As of May 22, 2026
Soybean futures. Agricultural bellwether and food inflation proxy.
Key input for animal feed and cooking oil. Rising = food inflation pressure, supply disruption (weather, trade policy). Falling = bumper crops or demand destruction.
ZW=F · YAHOO · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $646.25 | $-1.25 (-0.2%) | +$10.50 (+1.7%) | +$35.50 (+5.8%) | +$139.75 (+27.6%) |
As of May 22, 2026
Wheat futures. Global food security and geopolitical risk indicator.
Staple food commodity sensitive to weather, war, and trade restrictions. Spikes signal food inflation risk and geopolitical supply disruption.
WALCL · FRED · Weekly
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6,713,643.00 | -0.2% | +0.1% | +2.0% | +2.1% |
As of May 20, 2026
Federal Reserve total assets in millions. Proxy for liquidity injections.
Rising = Fed expanding balance sheet, adding liquidity, supportive for risk assets. Falling = quantitative tightening, draining liquidity, headwind for all asset prices.
ICSA · FRED · Weekly
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 209,000.00 | -1.4% | +0.5% | -2.8% | +1.0% |
As of May 16, 2026
Weekly new unemployment insurance claims in thousands.
The fastest labor market pulse. Below 225K = tight labor market. Rising trend above 300K = layoffs accelerating, recession risk climbing.
TIP · YAHOO · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $110.38 | +$0.01 (+0.0%) | $-0.23 (-0.2%) | $-0.63 (-0.6%) | +$1.07 (+1.0%) |
As of May 22, 2026
TIPS ETF. Proxy for inflation protection demand.
Rising = investors buying inflation protection, real yields falling. Falling = inflation fears fading or real yields rising and punishing duration.
WRMFNS · FRED · Weekly
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2,298.20 | +0.3% | +2.0% | +3.9% | +1.8% |
As of April 6, 2026
Retail money market fund assets in billions. Cash on the sidelines.
Record highs = massive cash parked defensively, potential fuel for future equity rally. Falling = money moving out of cash into risk assets, bullish rotation underway.
VNQ · YAHOO · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $96.77 | +$0.10 (+0.1%) | +$2.86 (+3.0%) | +$1.28 (+1.3%) | +$9.19 (+10.5%) |
As of May 22, 2026
ETF tracking publicly traded U.S. real estate investment trusts.
Reflects the impact of rates and economic conditions on real estate valuations, often acting as a liquid proxy for private market trends.
XHB · YAHOO · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100.01 | +$0.45 (+0.5%) | +$3.69 (+3.8%) | $-9.43 (-8.6%) | $-4.22 (-4.1%) |
As of May 22, 2026
ETF tracking U.S. homebuilding companies.
Highly sensitive to mortgage rates and housing demand, providing a forward-looking view on residential real estate activity.
MBB · YAHOO · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $94.08 | +$0.18 (+0.2%) | +$0.51 (+0.5%) | $-0.66 (-0.7%) | +$0.26 (+0.3%) |
As of May 22, 2026
ETF representing mortgage-backed securities.
Reflects conditions in mortgage financing markets; weakness often indicates widening spreads and tighter housing finance conditions.
MORTGAGE30US · FRED · Weekly
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.51% | +2.4% | +3.3% | +5.3% | +5.7% |
As of May 21, 2026
Freddie Mac 30-year fixed-rate mortgage average.
The rate that drives housing affordability. Above 7% = demand destruction. Below 6% = refis restart and buyers return. Every 1% move reprices monthly payments ~10%.
HOUST · FRED · Monthly
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,465.00 | -2.8% | +11.1% | +15.4% | +5.8% |
As of April 1, 2026
New residential construction starts in thousands of units.
Leading indicator of housing supply and builder confidence. Rising = builders see demand. Falling = rates or costs choking new construction.
EXHOSLUSM495S · FRED · Monthly
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4,020,000.00 | +0.2% | -1.7% | N/A | +0.0% |
As of April 1, 2026
Existing home sales in millions of units annualized.
Volume indicator for the resale market. Falling = lock-in effect as owners hold low-rate mortgages. Rising = rate relief thawing the frozen housing market.
CSUSHPINSA · FRED · Monthly
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 327.31 | +0.3% | -0.5% | +1.1% | +0.3% |
As of February 1, 2026
National home price index. The definitive measure of US house prices.
The gold standard for home price trends. Rising = wealth effect for homeowners, affordability squeeze for buyers. Falling = negative equity risk, consumer retrenchment.
PERMIT · FRED · Monthly
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,442.00 | +5.8% | +2.0% | -0.4% | +3.5% |
As of April 1, 2026
New privately-owned housing units authorized in thousands.
Leading indicator — permits precede starts by 1-2 months. Rising = pipeline building, builder optimism. Falling = future supply contraction ahead.
BKLN · YAHOO · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $20.47 | $-0.02 (-0.1%) | $-0.04 (-0.2%) | +$0.05 (+0.2%) | $-0.01 (-0.0%) |
As of May 22, 2026
Tracks leveraged loans (floating-rate senior secured). Core of private credit collateral.
The canary in private credit. Falling prices = stress in leveraged borrowers and CLOs. Floating-rate means rising rates hit these borrowers first.
BIZD · YAHOO · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $12.38 | $-0.14 (-1.1%) | $-0.23 (-1.8%) | $-0.33 (-2.6%) | $-1.34 (-9.8%) |
As of May 22, 2026
ETF of publicly traded BDCs — the closest public proxy for private direct lending.
BDCs are the public window into private credit. Falling BIZD = rising defaults or NAV markdowns in direct lending portfolios. Discount to NAV widens when credit stress builds.
OBDC · YAHOO · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $11.03 | $-0.15 (-1.3%) | $-0.18 (-1.6%) | $-0.32 (-2.8%) | $-1.10 (-9.1%) |
As of May 22, 2026
Largest publicly traded direct lending BDC. Blue Owl's flagship private credit vehicle.
OBDC is the single best public read on private credit health. Price vs NAV discount signals market confidence in direct lending book values. Widening discount = market doubts marks on underlying loans.
SRLN · YAHOO · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $40.46 | $-0.04 (-0.1%) | $-0.05 (-0.1%) | +$0.28 (+0.7%) | +$0.12 (+0.3%) |
As of May 22, 2026
Actively managed leveraged loan fund. Complements BKLN with a manager-selected view.
When SRLN diverges from BKLN, active managers are seeing something passive indexing misses. Watch for widening gap during stress.
HYG · YAHOO · Daily
| Current | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7374 | -0.2% | +0.1% | +0.6% | +1.2% |
As of May 22, 2026
Ratio of high-yield to investment-grade bond ETFs. Proxy for credit spread direction.
Rising ratio = credit spreads tightening, risk appetite healthy. Falling ratio = spreads widening, stress migrating from junk toward quality.
56 Maple is a Chicago-based family office and investment platform focused on long-term capital deployment across real estate, private operating companies, as well as sponsor-led transactions. Rooted in a multigenerational real estate background, the firm partners with operators and sponsors to invest in cash-flowing assets and businesses with strong fundamentals. 56 Maple emphasizes disciplined underwriting, aligned incentives, and a long-term ownership mindset.
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